Answer (1 of 62): I see alot of Americans here with an idea that such a war between NATO and Russia and China would be an easy win. Despite fresh salvos of Western sanctions, Tehran and Moscow are buddying up on defense ties. China is not a democracy. Weve signed on to it and all the intended agreements made from there. German Chancellor Olaf Scholz on Thursday called on China to refrain from sending weapons . Opinion | Furthermore, China has conducted military exercises in Europe and the Middle East. NATO is a defensive alliance of European and North American countries. Apart from supplying military equipment, the alliance has resisted calls for direct intervention. standing, Ukrainians are determined to keep fighting, and the West has so far stayed resolute in its support of Ukraine. Following the implementation of international sanctions during the war, China provided economic relief to Russia. Washington Must Prepare for War With Both Russia and China, Want to read more on this topic or region? Developments in recent months have caused international concern that major nuclear-armed powers could be dragged into direct conflict. The answer, according to many politicians and defense experts, is that Washington must moderate its response to Russia in Europe to focus on the greater threat posed by China in the Indo-Pacific . Join FPs Ravi Agrawal for a frank discussion about the Biden administrations China policy and alternatives that it ought to consider. As Russian . 20,155. European allies should invest in armor and artillery while Asian allies buy naval mines, harpoon missiles, and submarines. This is especially critical in light of recent reports from American intelligence agencies that China may supply Russia with weapons to aid its war against Ukraine, which would be an alarming escalation and a break from Chinas ostensibly neutral stance on the war. China and the NATO countries have very different political systems. As was the case in World War II, the U.S. Army would bear the brunt of defending Europe, while the Navy would concentrate on the Pacific. Others would be unwilling to join a US-China war, seeing it as not in their interest. I doubt, although the recent developments showed that nothing is out of the question these days. But many in the West have called for action citing a bigger danger if Russias offensive in Ukraine is not checked now. One year into Vladimir Putins invasion of Ukraine, Russia is a pariah to most countries in the free world. We also really recommend the book China Unbound: A New World Disorder by Joanna Chiu. No large protests. "The status quo across the Taiwan Strait has been seen as the interest of all parties concerned in this area, or globally. Moreover, the United States is not France; it is not compelled to make gut-wrenching strategic choices about its national security due to constrained resources. Russia is unlikely to accept the decision and will certainly not refrain from flying over Ukraine an all-out war is sure. He stressed that while NATO is no party to the Ukraine conflict its tasks are to ensure that Ukraine prevails and to prevent this war from escalating beyond Ukraine and becoming a full-fledged war between Russia and NATO., He said the main message from the meeting in Warsaw was that we will provide support to Ukraine for as long as it takes., It would be a "tragedy for the Ukrainians if President Putin wins in Ukraine, Stoltenberg said, and also dangerous for all of us because it would send the message to all authoritarian leaders that when they use military force, they get what they want.. NATO allies also dominate in the air with over 20,000 total aircraft. The answer is not so simple but the consequences will be unimaginable. The number of troops NATO has is a key factor in determining how strong it is compared to Chinas military. Currently, China focuses on domestic weapon designs and manufacturing, while still importing certain military products from Russia, such as jet engines. Needs to Talk About the Risk of War With China, The Deep Roots of Pakistans Terrorism Crisis, The Conversation About Ukraine Is Cracking Apart. Deterring China and Russia at the same time will not be easy, but it is better than pretending Washington can deal with one major-power rival or the other at its convenience. Answer (1 of 8): The United States is a member of NATO, so we need not refer to the United States and NATO. To be sure, developing such a strategy will be challenging, but there are a number of ways to begin to square the circle. 7 Reasons Why Canada Is Not A Poor Country. As this months summit between Putin and Chinese President Xi Jinping shows, Moscow and Beijing are forging a closer strategic partnership, including on military matters. Russia. It is not in their strategic interest to do so and there is little reason why they would. Russia has over 600 ships and one aircraft carrier. The repeated calls have somehow been so effective that a recent Reuters/Ipsos poll showed that a broad bipartisan majority of Americans, 74 per cent, think the US should work with Nato to set up no-fly zones to protect Ukraine from Russian air strikes.. What will another year of war look like? Importantly, there is almost no reason why China would attack NATO. The world over, countries are embarking on ambitious projects of industrial policy. Despite the efforts of the greatest correspondence with the reality, there is no guarantee, that all the data is true. When China is trying to destroy the status quo, it's not in the interest of us or the international community.". It aims to protect the freedom and democracy of countries within the alliance. Evening roundup with our editors favorite stories of the day. but thats just an overview. By one estimate from Harvard University, more than 130,000 Ukrainian soldiers have been killed or severely wounded, in addition to the deaths of more than 7,000 Ukrainian civilians. But for how long can the alliance afford to stay on the sidelines? The Western European countries (Germany, France, Italy, the United Kingdom, Belgium, etc.) If China succeeds in taking Taiwan, it would be well on its way to disrupting the U.S.-led order in Asia, with an eye to doing the same globally. In September 2018, Russia hosted the militaries of China and Mongolia as a part of the Vostok 2018 military exercise. What can we glean from the current state of play on the battlefield? Apart from a nuclear strike or a conventional inter-continental ballistic missile (ICBM), China lacks the military strength to launch an attack over such a distance. Before and during the 2022 Russian invasion of Ukraine, several NATO countries sent army to reinforce the alliance's eastern flank. Copyright 2019 ArmedForces.eu. Ok, so although there is definite animosity in China against NATO its clear that China doesnt officially hate the alliance. To be sure, there are risks associated with nuclear deterrence, but nuclear weapons have played a foundational role in U.S. defense strategy for three-quarters of a centuryand will likely continue to do so for decades to come. Politicians and experts argue that the United States lacks the resources to take on both Russia and China. Scholz also said that Germany is working on meeting NATO's 2% defense spending target. The world over, countries are embarking on ambitious projects of industrial policy. Finland and Sweden's . The only realistic circumstances that could see NATO countries fight a war with China is over the island of Taiwan. This guiding principle puts all free nations around the world at risk, and necessitates that the United States as the leader of global democracies articulates a coherent foreign policy strategy for navigating the inherent dangers of the deepening relationship between the two revisionist powers. It is a fundamental shift for a military alliance born in the Cold War and scrambling to respond to a newly reshaped world . Below is a breakdown of NATOs military strength compared to Chinas: As we can see, the combined armies of all NATO members are considerably stronger than Chinas Armed Forces. Many in China strongly dislike NATO due to this action. The Russian attack on Ukraine has prompted Sweden and neighboring Finland to abandon decades of nonalignment and apply to join the 30-nation alliance. One-stop digest of politics, economics, and culture. As tensions rise, especially between China and key NATO members such as the US, could we see a conflict between NATO and China? Both on your website and other media. Related Articles 510. All information comes from wikipedia.org, cia.gov, icanw.org, government websites and press releases. Usernames may be updated at any time and must not contain inappropriate or offensive language. The United States remains the worlds leading power with global interests, and it cannot afford to choose between Europe and the Indo-Pacific. But the US has a great advantage in the air and the sea. A twenty-year strategic treaty extended or another 5 years after its expiration in February 2022. China did not back Russia's war in Georgia in 2008, or its invasion of Ukraine in . Geographically, the combined territory of all the countries NATO is larger than China although both are enormous. . Russian President Vladimir Putin shakes hands with Chinese President Xi Jinping as he arrives for the Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation leaders meeting Nov. 11, 2014. A new group tries to save democracy from Trumpism These differences may also be crucial in determining the outcome of any war between China and NATO. Our live coverage of Russia's war in Ukraine has moved here. NATO is a system of collective security: its independent member states agree to defend each other against attacks by others countries. Al Nisr Publishing LLC 2023. When it comes to personnel, China . With a reelection campaign on the horizon, and opposition to the war growing on the political right, Biden could soon lack both the political capital and the actual power to ensure that the U.S. sustains its current level of support for Ukraine. Click + to receive email alerts when new stories are published on But beyond the goals of one leader in Moscow, it is also clear that Ukraine has suffered horrors of a historic nature. The Black Sea Grain Initiative, a deal brokered in July among Ukraine, Russia, Turkey and the United Nations, eased Russia's naval blockade and saw three key Ukrainian ports reopen. Pentagon official says war now a 'grinding slog'; Belarus president to meet Xi Jinping Russia says military drone attempted to strike gas facility near Moscow A senior Pentagon official has . Privacy Policy. The first question to ask when assessing a possible conflict between China and NATO is which is stronger militarily. Russia knows that too and its forces have thus been restrained so far. Additionally, in light of Putins decision to pull out of the bilateral New START treaty intended to limit the nuclear weapons both nations could deploy the U.S. should restart and enhance our nuclear weapons development program. Experts opine that sooner or later US-led alliance will have to face Putin's army. The United States possesses 24 percent of global GDP compared to a combined 19 percent in China and Russia. February 22, 2023, 12:31 PM. In order to fully understand any possible conflict between China and NATO, we need to think about how China views NATO. Beijing backing Moscow should trigger a rethink of China-European relations. While President Biden has thus far led an impressively strong and united NATO response to Russia's full-scale invasion of Ukraine, there are signs that public support for the war is fading, as . What does that mean for trade and globalization? Explore the benefits of your FP subscription. China is not a direct threat to NATO. Moreover, the crisis in Syria and now allegations that Russia has clearly postured in. This year, the United States will spend $778 billion on defense compared to only $310 billion in Russia and China. The misguided view gaining the most recent acceptance, however, is that Washington should simply choose the Indo-Pacific over Europe. The North Atlantic Treaty Organization (North Atlantic Alliance) is an intergovernmental military alliance which was signed in Washington on 4 April 1949. This should include incorporating key allies into military planning, sharing responsibilities, and devising a rational division of labor for weapons acquisition. FPsRavi Agrawalsat down with U.S. Trade RepresentativeKatherine Tai, the Biden administrations top official tasked with mapping out and implementing the White Houses trade policy. Test yourself on the week of Feb. 25: Nigeria votes, Finland builds a border wall, and Israel escalates repression. "If Russia wins this war, he will have confirmation that violence works. Xi Jinpings signature foreign policy is a shadow of its former self..
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